2008-Outcomes
I’m attempting to grapple everything going on apart from my disgust… and come up with a couple scenarios. Any help will be appreciated. This is from a post I created and decided to make it into a permanent page and add to it as people comment and the future unfolds.
Overall economic trend:
- - Economy is sliding deeper into a recession
- - Housing prices continue to fall
- - The dollar’s short-term value is undecided, and long term looking weak
- - Unemployment rising
- - Prices falling
- - Interest rates falling
Present Situation:
If a bailout is passed we might be able to presume that:
- - The dollar will lose value potentially very much if large reserves are sold off
- - Interest rates will have to rise as that is the only way foreigners will want to hold dollars
- - Imports will become very expensive
- - Prices will skyrocket
- - Recession will deepen – Depression?
- - Stock market will rally — for how long?
If the bailout isn’t passed:
- - Dollar might stabilize a bit
- - Uncertainty will continue
- - Markets will gyrate while overall trending down
- - Financial markets will tighten
- - Stock markets will plummet
Finally: A potential indicator of a dollar collapse
If interest rates rise and the dollar falls people are selling off their dollars and treasuries, which means nothing but bad for the dollar.
—–
How am I doing so far?
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- kerz: haeh heh! excellent. too late though! and it is a canard to pretend the republicans are deeply concerned. the rot is bipartisan.
- kerz: Like your comment. 2 sources of income: taxes and "quant easing" HA HA. so true.Imagine, a 3rd world country is liberalizing, while US having
- Dual Sim Mobile: nice post
About
The name is Trevor Gauntlett... I tend to like to question everything and don't like to take things at face value. There is always an alternative story to everything. My focus is the economy and finance with a desire for personal liberties and rights.
