I’m attempting to grapple everything going on apart from my disgust… and come up with a couple scenarios. Any help will be appreciated.

Overall economic trend:

• - Economy is sliding deeper into a recession
• - Housing prices continue to fall
• - The dollar’s short-term value is undecided, and long term looking weak
• - Unemployment rising
• - Prices falling
• - Interest rates falling

Present Situation:

If a bailout is passed we might be able to presume that:

• - The dollar will lose value potentially very much if large reserves are sold off
• - Interest rates will have to rise as that is the only way foreigners will want to hold dollars
• - Imports will become very expensive
• - Prices will skyrocket
• - Recession will deepen – Depression?
• - Stock market will rally — for how long?

If the bailout isn’t passed:

• - Dollar might stabilize a bit
• - Uncertainty will continue
• - Markets will gyrate while overall trending down
• - Financial markets will tighten
• - Stock markets will plummet

Finally: A potential indicator of a dollar collapse

If interest rates rise and the dollar falls people are selling off their dollars and treasuries, which means nothing but bad for the dollar.

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How am I doing so far?